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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

34-17-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Feb 22 • 1:00 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

24-26-7  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Ty Emberson
GOALTENDER

Ty Emberson

#49 | Defense
@
Egor Zamula
GOALTENDER

Egor Zamula

#5 | D
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ty Emberson None-None -- -- --
Egor Zamula None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
FLYERS
100%
OILERS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

50.6%

Flyers Cover

49.4%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

17.6%

EDM By 2-3 goals

19.0%

PHI By 1 goal

17.3%

PHI By 2-3 goals

18.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2.49
EDMONTON
2.46
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
3
EDMONTON
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 3, 2026 PHI @ EDM 5 - 2
Nov 12, 2025 EDM @ PHI 2 - 1
Feb 22, 2025 EDM @ PHI 3 - 6
Oct 15, 2024 PHI @ EDM 3 - 4
Jan 2, 2024 PHI @ EDM 2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +37.8% more
Edmonton: 35.2 vs Philadelphia: 21.9
Power Play % (L5) +17.9%
Edmonton: 30.9% vs Philadelphia: 13.0%
Hits (L5) +90.6% more
Philadelphia: 20.9 vs Edmonton: 11.0
Takeaways (L5) +65.7% more
Philadelphia: 5.4 vs Edmonton: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 2.5 3
PHI Score 2.5 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 21.4 / 13.2 12.0 / 7.0
Faceoff % 52.1 / 46.7 53.5 / 46.5
Hits 20.9 / 11.0 18.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 13.0 / 30.9 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 21.9 / 35.2 32.0 / 18.0
Takeaways 5.4 / 3.3 4.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
75%MONEY25%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
EDM
PHI
EDM
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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