PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
20-22-8 | Road
1
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
21-25-3 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Blomqvist
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Blomqvist | None-None | 4.03 | 0.840 | -- |
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 1.00 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.03
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.840
Save %
Ldr 0.966
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
KRAKEN
0%
PENGUINS
--
KRAKEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
PIT By 1 goal
16.2%
PIT By 2-3 goals
15.7%
SEA By 1 goal
18.5%
SEA By 2-3 goals
21.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
2.49
PITTSBURGH
Seattle
2.77
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
8
PITTSBURGH
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kraken
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kraken (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Penguins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 13.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
PIT @ SEA
6 - 3
Nov 22, 2025
SEA @ PIT
3 - 2
Jan 25, 2025
PIT @ SEA
1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
SEA @ PIT
4 - 2
Feb 29, 2024
PIT @ SEA
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+35.6% more
Seattle: 20.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.1% more
Seattle: 14.2
vs
Pittsburgh: 12.9
Power Play % (L5)
+30.5%
Pittsburgh: 46.2%
vs
Seattle: 15.7%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.1% more
Pittsburgh: 28.4
vs
Seattle: 25.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
2.5
1
SEA Score
2.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 12.9
15.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
45.8 / 53.9
55.3 / 44.7
Hits
20.0 / 14.8
14.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
15.7 / 46.2
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.0 / 28.4
25.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
6.1 / 6.1
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
PIT
SEA
PIT
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
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