PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
22-21-6 | Road
1
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
19-20-7 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ivan Fedotov
#82 | G@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Fedotov | None-None | 3.17 | 0.889 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 1.00 | 0.967 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.17
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.889
Save %
Ldr 0.967
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
FLYERS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1 goal
18.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
20.3%
NYI By 1 goal
16.8%
NYI By 2-3 goals
17.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.83
PHILADELPHIA
New York
2.68
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
PHI @ NYI
4 - 1
Jan 26, 2026
NYI @ PHI
4 - 0
Nov 28, 2025
PHI @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
NYI @ PHI
3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025
NYI @ PHI
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.9% more
Philadelphia: 19.5
vs
New York: 16.4
Hits (L5)
+84.9% more
New York: 29.9
vs
Philadelphia: 16.2
Takeaways (L5)
+41.8% more
New York: 5.1
vs
Philadelphia: 3.6
Power Play % (L5)
+13.1%
New York: 24.1%
vs
Philadelphia: 11.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.8
1
NYI Score
2.7
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 19.5
19.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
57.5 / 49.8
61.5 / 38.5
Hits
29.9 / 16.2
34.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
2411.0 / 1105.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.9 / 27.7
27.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 3.6
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
PHI
NYI
PHI
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
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