WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
32-10-5 | Road
3
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
21-24-3 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 2.03 | 0.968 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
2.03
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.968
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
KRAKEN
0%
CAPITALS
--
KRAKEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
WSH By 1 goal
15.5%
WSH By 2-3 goals
14.5%
SEA By 1 goal
18.9%
SEA By 2-3 goals
23.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
2.94
WASHINGTON
Seattle
3.34
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kraken
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kraken
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kraken (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Kraken (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
WSH @ SEA
1 - 5
Oct 21, 2025
SEA @ WSH
1 - 4
Mar 9, 2025
SEA @ WSH
2 - 4
Jan 23, 2025
WSH @ SEA
3 - 0
Mar 14, 2024
WSH @ SEA
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+63.3% more
Seattle: 5.6
vs
Washington: 3.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.9% more
Seattle: 26.4
vs
Washington: 22.1
Hits (L5)
+17.9% more
Seattle: 22.0
vs
Washington: 18.7
Power Play % (L5)
+11.0%
Seattle: 23.6%
vs
Washington: 12.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
2.9
3
SEA Score
3.3
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.3 / 17.8
8.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
49.5 / 50.9
38.5 / 61.5
Hits
22.0 / 18.7
16.0 / 8.0
Power Play %
2358.0 / 1260.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.4 / 22.1
22.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 3.4
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
WSH
SEA
WSH
ML
75%
3-1
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
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