DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
21-21-4 | Road
1
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
21-20-6 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
FLYERS
0%
RED WINGS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
DET By 1 goal
15.8%
DET By 2-3 goals
15.1%
PHI By 1 goal
18.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
22.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.24
DETROIT
Philadelphia
3.58
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Red Wings (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
PHI @ DET
3 - 6
Apr 2, 2026
DET @ PHI
4 - 2
Mar 28, 2026
PHI @ DET
5 - 3
Jan 21, 2025
DET @ PHI
1 - 2
Dec 18, 2024
PHI @ DET
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+124.8% more
Philadelphia: 23.9
vs
Detroit: 10.6
Takeaways (L5)
+36.4% more
Philadelphia: 5.1
vs
Detroit: 3.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.5%
Philadelphia: 51.6%
vs
Detroit: 47.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.5% more
Detroit: 31.0
vs
Philadelphia: 23.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.2
1
PHI Score
3.6
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
23.9 / 10.6
16.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
51.6 / 47.0
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
19.9 / 22.4
15.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
2486.0 / 2487.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.7 / 31.0
26.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 3.8
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
DET
PHI
DET
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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