BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
17-23-5 | Road
4
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
20-24-3 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mattias Samuelsson
#23 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattias Samuelsson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 4.00 | 0.862 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.00
--
Save %
0.862
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
0%
KRAKEN
100%
SABRES
--
KRAKEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
BUF By 1 goal
18.5%
BUF By 2-3 goals
21.6%
SEA By 1 goal
16.2%
SEA By 2-3 goals
15.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
3.47
BUFFALO
Seattle
3.2
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kraken
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sabres (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Kraken (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
SEA @ BUF
2 - 3
Dec 14, 2025
BUF @ SEA
3 - 1
Jan 20, 2025
BUF @ SEA
4 - 6
Jan 11, 2025
SEA @ BUF
6 - 2
Mar 18, 2024
BUF @ SEA
6 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.9% more
Buffalo: 31.4
vs
Seattle: 22.7
Power Play % (L5)
+6.1%
Buffalo: 16.5%
vs
Seattle: 10.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+65.4% more
Seattle: 5.4
vs
Buffalo: 3.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+36.7% more
Seattle: 20.4
vs
Buffalo: 15.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
3.5
4
SEA Score
3.2
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
20.4 / 15.0
11.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 44.8
51.9 / 48.1
Hits
25.0 / 18.4
16.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
10.4 / 16.5
50.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
22.7 / 31.4
34.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 3.3
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
BUF
SEA
BUF
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
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