PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
15-25 | Road
109
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
23-17 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
BUCKS
0%
76ERS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.1 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -10.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
PHI By 1-7 points
10.5%
PHI By 8-14 points
3.2%
MIL By 1-7 points
22.9%
MIL By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
108.6
PHILADELPHIA
Milwaukee
118.7
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Milwaukee
117
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.1
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
MIL @ PHI
106 - 126
Jan 27, 2026
MIL @ PHI
122 - 139
Dec 5, 2025
PHI @ MIL
116 - 101
Nov 20, 2025
PHI @ MIL
123 - 114
Apr 3, 2025
MIL @ PHI
126 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+142.8% more
Milwaukee: 5.7
vs
Philadelphia: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+34.5% more
Milwaukee: 46.4
vs
Philadelphia: 34.5
Turnovers (L5)
+14.6% more
Milwaukee: 14.8
vs
Philadelphia: 12.9
Assists (L5)
+13.0% more
Milwaukee: 25.4
vs
Philadelphia: 22.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
108.6
109
MIL Score
118.7
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.2 / 33.7
37.8 / 35.6
Assists
25.4 / 22.5
31.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.7 / 2.4
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
52.8 / 45.4
49.4 / 45.3
Free Throw %
74.7 / 82.8
76.7 / 68.2
Rebounding
46.4 / 34.5
48.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.2 / 8.6
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 12.9
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
PHI
MIL
PHI
ML
64%
61-35
63%
69-40
60%
49-32
48%
45-48
ATS
68%
65-31
65%
71-38
60%
49-32
48%
45-48
TTL
55%
53-43
55%
60-49
100%
81-0
100%
93-0
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