CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
34-6 | Road
124
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
22-19 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
CAVALIERS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CLE By 1-7 points
22.4%
CLE By 8-14 points
11.4%
MIN By 1-7 points
27.1%
MIN By 8-14 points
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
117.06
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
119.54
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
112
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
107
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.5
D
Sim
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 236.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
MIN @ CLE
134 - 146
Jan 8, 2026
CLE @ MIN
122 - 131
Feb 10, 2025
MIN @ CLE
107 - 128
Jan 18, 2025
CLE @ MIN
124 - 117
Mar 22, 2024
CLE @ MIN
91 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
Minnesota: 5.9
vs
Cleveland: 5.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.0%
Minnesota: 45.6%
vs
Cleveland: 33.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Minnesota: 49.0%
vs
Cleveland: 47.4%
Assists (L5)
+20.2% more
Cleveland: 29.4
vs
Minnesota: 23.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
117.1
124
MIN Score
119.5
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
45.6 / 33.6
39.5 / 35.4
Assists
23.5 / 29.4
27.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.9
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 47.4
47.8 / 45.7
Free Throw %
74.1 / 81.6
84.2 / 92.0
Rebounding
45.9 / 46.4
42.0 / 47.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.1
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 15.8
8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CLE
MIN
CLE
ML
54%
63-53
60%
69-46
54%
50-43
56%
55-44
ATS
58%
67-49
67%
75-37-3
54%
50-43
56%
55-44
TTL
63%
72-43-1
59%
68-47
100%
93-0
100%
99-0
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