TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
10-31 | Road
112
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
22-17 | Home
130
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
BUCKS
0%
RAPTORS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.3
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.3 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -7.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
TOR By 1-7 points
14.9%
TOR By 8-14 points
5.5%
MIL By 1-7 points
26.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
25.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
108.75
TORONTO
Milwaukee
116.01
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Toronto
112
TORONTO
Milwaukee
117
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.3
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
TOR @ MIL
122 - 94
Dec 18, 2025
TOR @ MIL
111 - 105
Nov 4, 2025
MIL @ TOR
100 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
MIL @ TOR
122 - 116
Jan 17, 2025
TOR @ MIL
112 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+25.8% more
Milwaukee: 6.1
vs
Toronto: 4.8
Turnovers (L5)
+14.7% more
Milwaukee: 15.1
vs
Toronto: 13.2
Steals (L5)
+14.4% more
Milwaukee: 7.3
vs
Toronto: 6.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.7%
Milwaukee: 71.9%
vs
Toronto: 64.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
108.8
112
MIL Score
116.0
130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.9 / 37.6
41.9 / 23.5
Assists
25.7 / 30.6
25.0 / 31.0
Blocks
6.1 / 4.8
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
53.3 / 49.2
51.9 / 47.3
Free Throw %
71.9 / 64.2
80.5 / 75.0
Rebounding
47.6 / 46.0
44.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.3 / 6.4
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 13.2
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
TOR
MIL
TOR
ML
64%
61-35
55%
57-47
60%
49-32
55%
48-39
ATS
68%
65-31
61%
62-40-2
60%
49-32
55%
48-39
TTL
55%
53-43
60%
62-42
100%
81-0
100%
87-0
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