PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
19-20-6 | Road
5
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
17-19-7 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 4.18 | 0.826 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.18
--
Save %
0.826
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
FLYERS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
PHI By 1 goal
17.3%
PHI By 2-3 goals
18.2%
NYI By 1 goal
17.6%
NYI By 2-3 goals
19.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.47
PHILADELPHIA
New York
2.51
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
PHI @ NYI
4 - 1
Jan 26, 2026
NYI @ PHI
4 - 0
Nov 28, 2025
PHI @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
NYI @ PHI
3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025
NYI @ PHI
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+56.2% more
New York: 5.5
vs
Philadelphia: 3.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.4%
New York: 55.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 51.3%
Power Play % (L5)
+18.3%
Philadelphia: 18.4%
vs
New York: 0.1%
Hits (L5)
+11.0% more
Philadelphia: 23.2
vs
New York: 20.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.5
5
NYI Score
2.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.1 / 17.5
13.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
55.7 / 51.3
47.4 / 52.6
Hits
20.7 / 23.2
15.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
0.1 / 18.4
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.1 / 27.9
29.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 3.5
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
PHI
NYI
PHI
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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