CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
21-15-7 | Road
1
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
21-20-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.03 | 0.862 | -- |
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 1.00 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.03
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.862
Save %
Ldr 0.966
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
BLUES
0%
FLAMES
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
CGY By 1 goal
11.6%
CGY By 2-3 goals
8.7%
STL By 1 goal
19.7%
STL By 2-3 goals
30.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.46
CALGARY
St. Louis
3.55
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Calgary
4
CALGARY
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blues
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
STL @ CGY
1 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
CGY @ STL
2 - 3
Oct 11, 2025
STL @ CGY
4 - 2
Jan 16, 2025
CGY @ STL
1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
CGY @ STL
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.9% more
St. Louis: 14.7
vs
Calgary: 12.7
Power Play % (L5)
+13.8%
St. Louis: 22.9%
vs
Calgary: 9.1%
Hits (L5)
+13.4% more
St. Louis: 22.7
vs
Calgary: 20.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.2%
St. Louis: 53.4%
vs
Calgary: 45.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.5
1
STL Score
3.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.7 / 12.7
14.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
53.4 / 45.2
52.4 / 47.6
Hits
22.7 / 20.0
28.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
22.9 / 9.1
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.6 / 29.1
29.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 5.2
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
CGY
STL
CGY
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points