EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
28-13-3 | Road
4
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
27-17-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 4.13 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.13
--
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
AVALANCHE
100%
OILERS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
18.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
22.5%
COL By 1 goal
15.8%
COL By 2-3 goals
15.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3.31
EDMONTON
Colorado
2.96
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
COL @ EDM
2 - 1
Mar 10, 2026
EDM @ COL
4 - 3
Nov 8, 2025
COL @ EDM
9 - 1
Feb 7, 2025
COL @ EDM
5 - 4
Jan 16, 2025
EDM @ COL
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+55.7%
Edmonton: 58.2%
vs
Colorado: 2.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.7% more
Edmonton: 15.3
vs
Colorado: 11.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.2% more
Edmonton: 34.5
vs
Colorado: 27.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.1%
Edmonton: 51.2%
vs
Colorado: 41.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.3
4
COL Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.5 / 15.3
19.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
41.1 / 51.2
53.3 / 46.7
Hits
18.2 / 14.1
14.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
244.0 / 5817.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.2 / 34.5
25.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 3.5
3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
EDM
COL
EDM
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers