SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

18-23-3  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Jan 14 • 7:00 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

18-19-8  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Joey Daccord
GOALTENDER

Joey Daccord

#35 | Goaltender
@
Owen Pickering
GOALTENDER

Owen Pickering

#38 | D
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joey Daccord None-None 2.00 0.939 --
Owen Pickering None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 GAA --
0.939 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
📊
PENGUINS
0%
KRAKEN --
PENGUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Pittsburgh)
KrakenSEA (-3.5) 0 PenguinsPIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kraken Cover

34.8%

Penguins Cover

65.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

SEA By 1 goal

13.4%

SEA By 2-3 goals

11.1%

PIT By 1 goal

19.6%

PIT By 2-3 goals

27.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2.21
SEATTLE
2.99
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
4
SEATTLE
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Penguins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kraken Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Penguins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim Kraken (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 19, 2026 PIT @ SEA 6 - 3
Nov 22, 2025 SEA @ PIT 3 - 2
Jan 25, 2025 PIT @ SEA 1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025 SEA @ PIT 4 - 2
Feb 29, 2024 PIT @ SEA 0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +15.0% more
Pittsburgh: 25.0 vs Seattle: 21.8
Power Play % (L5) +6.4%
Pittsburgh: 41.4% vs Seattle: 35.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +13.9% more
Seattle: 16.2 vs Pittsburgh: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 2.2 4
PIT Score 3.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.0 / 16.2 13.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 50.1 / 48.7 63.5 / 36.5
Hits 25.0 / 21.8 20.0 / 28.0
Power Play % 4140.0 / 3501.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.6 / 29.2 33.0 / 18.0
Takeaways 5.3 / 5.1 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
82%MONEY18%