CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
21-14-7 | Road
1
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
20-20-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 1.00 | 0.964 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.964
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
BLUES
0%
FLAMES
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
CGY By 1 goal
15.8%
CGY By 2-3 goals
15.0%
STL By 1 goal
18.7%
STL By 2-3 goals
22.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.91
CALGARY
St. Louis
3.26
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Calgary
4
CALGARY
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blues
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
STL @ CGY
1 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
CGY @ STL
2 - 3
Oct 11, 2025
STL @ CGY
4 - 2
Jan 16, 2025
CGY @ STL
1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
CGY @ STL
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+20.7%
St. Louis: 34.4%
vs
Calgary: 13.6%
Hits (L5)
+20.1% more
St. Louis: 24.0
vs
Calgary: 20.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.0%
St. Louis: 54.0%
vs
Calgary: 43.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+9.4% more
Calgary: 4.2
vs
St. Louis: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.9
1
STL Score
3.3
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.1 / 12.6
18.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
54.0 / 43.9
52.3 / 47.7
Hits
24.0 / 20.0
20.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
3435.0 / 1364.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.9 / 29.7
25.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 4.2
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
CGY
STL
CGY
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
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Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points