FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
25-15-3 | Road
3
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
18-20-5 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Garnet Hathaway
#21 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garnet Hathaway | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
FLYERS
100%
PANTHERS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
19.6%
FLA By 2-3 goals
27.0%
PHI By 1 goal
13.5%
PHI By 2-3 goals
11.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
2.95
FLORIDA
Philadelphia
2.19
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
PHI @ FLA
4 - 2
Oct 13, 2025
FLA @ PHI
2 - 5
Oct 9, 2025
PHI @ FLA
1 - 2
Jan 13, 2025
FLA @ PHI
3 - 4
Dec 5, 2024
FLA @ PHI
7 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+33.9% more
Florida: 5.6
vs
Philadelphia: 3.7
Hits (L5)
+19.9% more
Florida: 29.0
vs
Philadelphia: 23.3
Power Play % (L5)
+16.7%
Florida: 38.2%
vs
Philadelphia: 21.5%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.0% more
Florida: 34.6
vs
Philadelphia: 29.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
3.0
3
PHI Score
2.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 12.4
27.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
47.3 / 53.0
55.6 / 44.4
Hits
23.3 / 29.0
22.0 / 36.0
Power Play %
21.5 / 38.2
40.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.4 / 34.6
29.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 5.6
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
FLA
PHI
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
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