SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
17-22-3 | Road
6
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
16-21-5 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 2.00 | 0.943 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 5.10 | 0.821 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
5.10
0.943 Ldr
Save %
0.821
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
SABRES
0%
KRAKEN
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
SEA By 1 goal
17.2%
SEA By 2-3 goals
17.9%
BUF By 1 goal
17.8%
BUF By 2-3 goals
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
2.53
SEATTLE
Buffalo
2.6
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
SEA @ BUF
2 - 3
Dec 14, 2025
BUF @ SEA
3 - 1
Jan 20, 2025
BUF @ SEA
4 - 6
Jan 11, 2025
SEA @ BUF
6 - 2
Mar 18, 2024
BUF @ SEA
6 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+33.5% more
Seattle: 5.5
vs
Buffalo: 3.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.0% more
Seattle: 26.4
vs
Buffalo: 23.3
Power Play % (L5)
+5.6%
Seattle: 28.8%
vs
Buffalo: 23.1%
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.0%
Seattle: 49.5%
vs
Buffalo: 44.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
2.5
6
BUF Score
2.6
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.5 / 15.5
1.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
44.6 / 49.5
37.5 / 62.5
Hits
18.7 / 19.7
20.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
23.1 / 28.8
20.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
23.3 / 26.4
35.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 5.5
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
SEA
BUF
SEA
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
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