Home / NHL Projections NHL / Canucks @ Maple Leafs VAN @ TOR

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

18-13-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Jan 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

27-14-2  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Kevin Lankinen
GOALTENDER

Kevin Lankinen

#32 | Goaltender
@
Chris Tanev
GOALTENDER

Chris Tanev

#8 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Kevin Lankinen None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Chris Tanev None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 GAA --
1.000 Save % --
1 SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
0%
📊
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
CANUCKS --
MAPLE LEAFS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CanucksVAN (-3.5) 0 Maple LeafsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

50.2%

Maple Leafs Cover

49.8%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

VAN By 1 goal

17.5%

VAN By 2-3 goals

18.8%

TOR By 1 goal

17.4%

TOR By 2-3 goals

18.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.54
VANCOUVER
2.53
TORONTO
Simulated Score
3
VANCOUVER
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canucks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Maple Leafs Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Canucks (-0) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim Maple Leafs (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 TOR @ VAN 3 - 2
Jan 10, 2026 VAN @ TOR 0 - 5
Feb 8, 2025 TOR @ VAN 1 - 2
Jan 11, 2025 VAN @ TOR 3 - 0
Jan 20, 2024 TOR @ VAN 4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +28.9% more
Vancouver: 6.4 vs Toronto: 4.6
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.7% more
Toronto: 27.1 vs Vancouver: 21.7
Power Play % (L5) +13.1%
Toronto: 28.1% vs Vancouver: 15.0%
Faceoff % (L5) +4.0%
Toronto: 53.7% vs Vancouver: 49.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 2.5 3
TOR Score 2.5 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.7 / 15.5 14.0 / 21.0
Faceoff % 53.7 / 49.7 51.0 / 49.0
Hits 29.3 / 30.0 11.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 2807.0 / 1500.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.1 / 21.7 20.0 / 18.0
Takeaways 4.6 / 6.4 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
90%MONEY10%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
VAN
TOR
VAN
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
TTL
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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