MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
19-16 | Road
109
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
22-17 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
MAGIC
0%
BUCKS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
MIL By 1-7 points
24.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
13.3%
ORL By 1-7 points
26.4%
ORL By 8-14 points
17.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
103.98
MILWAUKEE
Orlando
105.22
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
103
MILWAUKEE
Orlando
109
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.2
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 209.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
ORL @ MIL
130 - 91
Feb 11, 2026
MIL @ ORL
116 - 108
Feb 9, 2026
MIL @ ORL
99 - 118
Mar 8, 2025
ORL @ MIL
111 - 109
Jan 15, 2025
ORL @ MIL
93 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.3% more
Orlando: 6.8
vs
Milwaukee: 4.7
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
Milwaukee: 27.9
vs
Orlando: 23.3
Rebounding (L5)
+14.1% more
Milwaukee: 49.2
vs
Orlando: 42.3
Steals (L5)
+12.3% more
Milwaukee: 8.4
vs
Orlando: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
104.0
109
ORL Score
105.2
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 41.2
35.0 / 36.0
Assists
23.3 / 27.9
20.0 / 18.0
Blocks
6.8 / 4.7
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 48.4
43.0 / 51.8
Free Throw %
71.9 / 75.0
69.2 / 60.9
Rebounding
42.3 / 49.2
44.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.3 / 8.4
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 14.0
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
MIL
ORL
MIL
ML
61%
65-42
64%
61-35
56%
51-40
60%
49-32
ATS
64%
68-38-1
68%
65-31
56%
51-40
60%
49-32
TTL
57%
61-46
55%
53-43
100%
91-0
100%
81-0
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