MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
19-17 | Road
104
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
22-16 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
MAGIC
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
205.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.7
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.7 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -5.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
27.0%
MIN By 8-14 points
23.9%
ORL By 1-7 points
17.4%
ORL By 8-14 points
7.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
105.39
MINNESOTA
Orlando
99.7
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
108
MINNESOTA
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.7
D
Sim
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 205.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
MIN @ ORL
120 - 132
Mar 7, 2026
ORL @ MIN
119 - 92
Mar 14, 2025
ORL @ MIN
111 - 118
Jan 9, 2025
MIN @ ORL
104 - 89
Feb 2, 2024
ORL @ MIN
108 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.5% more
Minnesota: 16.4
vs
Orlando: 13.1
Rebounding (L5)
+16.7% more
Minnesota: 47.9
vs
Orlando: 39.9
Blocks (L5)
+8.1% more
Minnesota: 5.7
vs
Orlando: 5.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Minnesota: 39.1%
vs
Orlando: 33.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
105.4
104
ORL Score
99.7
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 39.1
25.0 / 35.3
Assists
24.4 / 24.0
21.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.2 / 5.7
10.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 44.6
37.9 / 40.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 73.1
68.4 / 77.4
Rebounding
39.9 / 47.9
47.0 / 50.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.6
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 16.4
16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
MIN
ORL
MIN
ML
61%
65-42
54%
63-53
56%
51-40
54%
50-43
ATS
64%
68-38-1
58%
67-49
56%
51-40
54%
50-43
TTL
57%
61-46
63%
72-43-1
100%
91-0
100%
93-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…