TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
27-13-2 | Road
3
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
24-15-2 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jack Roslovic
#96 | Center@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roslovic | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 3.02 | 0.909 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.02
--
Save %
0.909
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
TOR By 1 goal
15.8%
TOR By 2-3 goals
15.0%
CAR By 1 goal
18.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
22.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
3.3
TORONTO
Carolina
3.65
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
CAR @ TOR
4 - 3
Dec 4, 2025
TOR @ CAR
5 - 1
Nov 9, 2025
CAR @ TOR
5 - 4
Apr 13, 2025
TOR @ CAR
4 - 1
Feb 22, 2025
CAR @ TOR
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+28.5% more
Carolina: 31.0
vs
Toronto: 24.1
Hits (L5)
+28.8% more
Toronto: 30.9
vs
Carolina: 22.0
Power Play % (L5)
+13.6%
Toronto: 17.1%
vs
Carolina: 3.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.5% more
Toronto: 14.1
vs
Carolina: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
3.3
3
CAR Score
3.7
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.4 / 14.1
11.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
55.2 / 56.0
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
22.0 / 30.9
13.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
3.5 / 17.1
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
31.0 / 24.1
34.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 4.4
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
TOR
CAR
TOR
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-4
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
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