EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
24-12-3 | Road
4
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
20-17-5 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Trent Frederic
#10 | Center@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Frederic | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 3.04 | 0.921 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.04
--
Save %
0.921
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
BRUINS
100%
OILERS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
17.8%
EDM By 2-3 goals
19.6%
BOS By 1 goal
17.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
17.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3.9
EDMONTON
Boston
3.81
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Boston
5
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
BOS @ EDM
6 - 2
Dec 18, 2025
EDM @ BOS
3 - 1
Jan 7, 2025
EDM @ BOS
4 - 0
Dec 19, 2024
BOS @ EDM
2 - 3
Mar 5, 2024
EDM @ BOS
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+32.8%
Edmonton: 34.5%
vs
Boston: 1.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.4%
Edmonton: 54.5%
vs
Boston: 50.1%
Hits (L5)
+231.4% more
Boston: 24.6
vs
Edmonton: 7.4
Takeaways (L5)
+42.7% more
Boston: 7.9
vs
Edmonton: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.9
4
BOS Score
3.8
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.3 / 16.1
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
50.1 / 54.5
42.6 / 57.4
Hits
24.6 / 7.4
45.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
1.7 / 34.5
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
29.6 / 30.0
26.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
7.9 / 5.5
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
EDM
BOS
EDM
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
