MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
17-16 | Road
128
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
8-27 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
RAPTORS
0%
BUCKS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
MIL By 1-7 points
24.9%
MIL By 8-14 points
14.5%
TOR By 1-7 points
25.8%
TOR By 8-14 points
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
108.31
MILWAUKEE
Toronto
108.79
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
115
MILWAUKEE
Toronto
112
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.5
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
TOR @ MIL
122 - 94
Dec 18, 2025
TOR @ MIL
111 - 105
Nov 4, 2025
MIL @ TOR
100 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
MIL @ TOR
122 - 116
Jan 17, 2025
TOR @ MIL
112 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.0% more
Toronto: 15.4
vs
Milwaukee: 12.8
Assists (L5)
+17.2% more
Toronto: 28.9
vs
Milwaukee: 24.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Toronto: 47.3%
vs
Milwaukee: 44.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Toronto: 36.3%
vs
Milwaukee: 33.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
108.3
128
TOR Score
108.8
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 33.8
25.7 / 50.0
Assists
28.9 / 24.7
27.0 / 37.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.6
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 44.5
45.1 / 57.3
Free Throw %
78.7 / 76.3
61.9 / 80.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 45.0
35.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.4 / 10.1
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 12.8
15.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
MIL
TOR
MIL
ML
55%
57-47
64%
61-35
55%
48-39
60%
49-32
ATS
61%
62-40-2
68%
65-31
55%
48-39
60%
49-32
TTL
60%
62-42
55%
53-43
100%
87-0
100%
81-0
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