MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
17-16 | Road
105
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
16-18 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
PISTONS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
26.0%
MIN By 8-14 points
16.6%
DET By 1-7 points
24.5%
DET By 8-14 points
14.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
111.35
MINNESOTA
Detroit
110.57
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Minnesota
108
MINNESOTA
Detroit
104
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.8
D
Sim
Timberwolves (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
MIN @ DET
108 - 113
Mar 28, 2026
DET @ MIN
109 - 87
Mar 30, 2025
DET @ MIN
104 - 123
Jan 4, 2025
MIN @ DET
105 - 119
Mar 27, 2024
DET @ MIN
91 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.4%
Minnesota: 85.1%
vs
Detroit: 70.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Minnesota: 42.8%
vs
Detroit: 36.1%
Steals (L5)
+133.7% more
Detroit: 9.8
vs
Minnesota: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
111.4
105
DET Score
110.6
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 42.8
34.2 / 40.0
Assists
24.7 / 23.7
26.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 47.8
48.4 / 42.5
Free Throw %
70.7 / 85.1
80.0 / 80.8
Rebounding
46.1 / 44.3
47.0 / 33.0
Steals
9.8 / 4.2
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.8 / 16.6
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIN
DET
MIN
ML
55%
64-53
54%
63-53
49%
47-49
54%
50-43
ATS
53%
60-54-3
58%
67-49
49%
47-49
54%
50-43
TTL
60%
70-46-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
96-0
100%
93-0
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