EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
23-12-3 | Road
4
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
17-19-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Philipp Grubauer
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Philipp Grubauer | None-None | 3.09 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.09
--
Save %
0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
KRAKEN
0%
OILERS
--
KRAKEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
EDM By 1 goal
17.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
17.7%
SEA By 1 goal
17.8%
SEA By 2-3 goals
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.85
EDMONTON
Seattle
2.94
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kraken
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kraken (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
SEA @ EDM
1 - 3
Mar 31, 2026
SEA @ EDM
0 - 3
Dec 4, 2025
SEA @ EDM
4 - 9
Nov 29, 2025
EDM @ SEA
4 - 0
Oct 25, 2025
EDM @ SEA
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+177.7% more
Seattle: 21.2
vs
Edmonton: 7.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.1% more
Seattle: 17.3
vs
Edmonton: 13.7
Takeaways (L5)
+31.2% more
Edmonton: 5.8
vs
Seattle: 4.0
Power Play % (L5)
+29.6%
Edmonton: 51.8%
vs
Seattle: 22.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
2.9
4
SEA Score
2.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.3 / 13.7
19.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
49.1 / 52.5
41.4 / 58.6
Hits
21.2 / 7.6
23.0 / 7.0
Power Play %
2213.0 / 5176.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.4 / 29.0
18.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 5.8
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
EDM
SEA
EDM
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
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