BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
12-21 | Road
113
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
17-14 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
BUCKS
0%
NETS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.3
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.3 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -5.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
BKN By 1-7 points
18.1%
BKN By 8-14 points
7.7%
MIL By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
23.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
102.1
BROOKLYN
Milwaukee
107.37
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
107
BROOKLYN
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.3
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 209.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
BKN @ MIL
108 - 125
Apr 7, 2026
MIL @ BKN
90 - 96
Dec 14, 2025
MIL @ BKN
82 - 127
Nov 29, 2025
BKN @ MIL
99 - 116
Jan 2, 2025
BKN @ MIL
113 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+20.4% more
Milwaukee: 46.0
vs
Brooklyn: 38.2
Steals (L5)
+16.7% more
Milwaukee: 9.2
vs
Brooklyn: 7.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Milwaukee: 37.4%
vs
Brooklyn: 34.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+16.2% more
Brooklyn: 16.2
vs
Milwaukee: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
102.1
113
MIL Score
107.4
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 34.3
29.7 / 30.8
Assists
26.3 / 24.5
21.0 / 26.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.7
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 44.4
44.4 / 43.2
Free Throw %
79.4 / 82.4
67.9 / 89.3
Rebounding
46.0 / 38.2
46.0 / 51.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.8
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 16.2
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
BKN
MIL
BKN
ML
64%
61-35
53%
50-45
60%
49-32
59%
48-34
ATS
68%
65-31
52%
48-44-3
60%
49-32
59%
48-34
TTL
55%
53-43
57%
54-41
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Charles Lee Praises Naz Reid's Seamless Fit with Hornets
Heat's Bam Adebayo and Giannis Antetokounmpo: Can Miami Make It …