BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
14-20-4 | Road
5
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
23-15-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 5.92 | 0.793 | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 5.79 | 0.778 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.92
GAA
Ldr 5.79
0.793 Ldr
Save %
0.778
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
SABRES
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
BUF By 1 goal
14.5%
BUF By 2-3 goals
12.8%
COL By 1 goal
19.3%
COL By 2-3 goals
25.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2.74
BUFFALO
Colorado
3.33
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
BUF @ COL
3 - 6
Oct 13, 2025
COL @ BUF
3 - 1
Jan 2, 2025
BUF @ COL
5 - 6
Dec 3, 2024
COL @ BUF
5 - 4
Dec 13, 2023
BUF @ COL
1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+41.7% more
Colorado: 33.3
vs
Buffalo: 23.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.5%
Colorado: 49.8%
vs
Buffalo: 38.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+20.8% more
Buffalo: 18.4
vs
Colorado: 14.6
Takeaways (L5)
+16.9% more
Buffalo: 3.8
vs
Colorado: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.7
5
COL Score
3.3
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 18.4
9.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 38.3
44.8 / 55.2
Hits
19.9 / 21.8
31.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
10.1 / 21.4
33.3 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
33.3 / 23.5
29.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 3.8
9.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
BUF
COL
BUF
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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