BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
13-19-4 | Road
4
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
17-16-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.01 | 0.946 | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 4.25 | 0.750 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01 Ldr
GAA
4.25
0.946 Ldr
Save %
0.750
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
BLUES
0%
SABRES
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
BUF By 1 goal
17.4%
BUF By 2-3 goals
18.4%
STL By 1 goal
17.6%
STL By 2-3 goals
18.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2.67
BUFFALO
St. Louis
2.69
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blues
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blues (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
BUF @ STL
4 - 2
Nov 6, 2025
STL @ BUF
3 - 0
Dec 29, 2024
BUF @ STL
4 - 2
Nov 14, 2024
STL @ BUF
3 - 4
Feb 10, 2024
STL @ BUF
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+11.0% more
St. Louis: 24.3
vs
Buffalo: 21.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.5%
St. Louis: 49.8%
vs
Buffalo: 46.3%
Takeaways (L5)
+17.4% more
Buffalo: 4.1
vs
St. Louis: 3.4
Power Play % (L5)
+5.0%
Buffalo: 14.8%
vs
St. Louis: 9.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.7
4
STL Score
2.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.6 / 17.2
4.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 46.3
60.0 / 40.0
Hits
24.3 / 21.9
14.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
9.8 / 14.8
0.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
26.1 / 27.7
37.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 4.1
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
BUF
STL
BUF
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
TTL
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points