PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
15-16-4 | Road
3
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
13-16-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 2.07 | 0.917 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.07
--
Save %
0.917
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
DUCKS
100%
FLYERS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1 goal
19.5%
PHI By 2-3 goals
26.1%
ANA By 1 goal
14.0%
ANA By 2-3 goals
12.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.84
PHILADELPHIA
Anaheim
2.17
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
PHI @ ANA
3 - 2
Jan 6, 2026
ANA @ PHI
2 - 5
Jan 11, 2025
ANA @ PHI
0 - 6
Dec 28, 2024
PHI @ ANA
3 - 1
Nov 10, 2023
PHI @ ANA
6 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+12.0% more
Philadelphia: 4.7
vs
Anaheim: 4.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.0% more
Anaheim: 14.7
vs
Philadelphia: 12.7
Hits (L5)
+15.6% more
Anaheim: 21.8
vs
Philadelphia: 18.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.6% more
Anaheim: 30.7
vs
Philadelphia: 26.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.8
3
ANA Score
2.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.7 / 12.7
16.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
47.8 / 48.4
44.6 / 55.4
Hits
21.8 / 18.9
18.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
912.0 / 189.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.7 / 26.8
33.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.7
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
PHI
ANA
PHI
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
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