BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
11-18 | Road
111
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
16-12 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
BUCKS
0%
NETS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.4
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.4 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -4.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
BKN By 1-7 points
19.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
8.8%
MIL By 1-7 points
27.4%
MIL By 8-14 points
22.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
102.19
BROOKLYN
Milwaukee
106.54
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
117
BROOKLYN
Milwaukee
122
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.4
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 208.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 239.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
BKN @ MIL
108 - 125
Apr 7, 2026
MIL @ BKN
90 - 96
Dec 14, 2025
MIL @ BKN
82 - 127
Nov 29, 2025
BKN @ MIL
99 - 116
Jan 2, 2025
BKN @ MIL
113 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.1% more
Milwaukee: 26.8
vs
Brooklyn: 23.3
Steals (L5)
+9.5% more
Milwaukee: 9.1
vs
Brooklyn: 8.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
Milwaukee: 40.4%
vs
Brooklyn: 31.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Milwaukee: 46.2%
vs
Brooklyn: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
102.2
111
MIL Score
106.5
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.4 / 31.7
39.5 / 42.1
Assists
26.8 / 23.3
23.0 / 25.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.4
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 41.2
49.4 / 47.6
Free Throw %
75.3 / 83.5
66.7 / 77.3
Rebounding
46.1 / 43.9
39.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.1 / 8.3
12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 17.1
23.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
BKN
MIL
BKN
ML
64%
61-35
53%
50-45
60%
49-32
59%
48-34
ATS
68%
65-31
52%
48-44-3
60%
49-32
59%
48-34
TTL
55%
53-43
57%
54-41
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
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