BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
17-13-3 | Road
2
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
18-11-2 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.95 | 0.885 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.95
GAA
--
0.885
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
OILERS
0%
BRUINS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
BOS By 1 goal
15.4%
BOS By 2-3 goals
14.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.0%
EDM By 2-3 goals
23.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3.74
BOSTON
Edmonton
4.17
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Boston
4
BOSTON
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
BOS @ EDM
6 - 2
Dec 18, 2025
EDM @ BOS
3 - 1
Jan 7, 2025
EDM @ BOS
4 - 0
Dec 19, 2024
BOS @ EDM
2 - 3
Mar 5, 2024
EDM @ BOS
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+26.3%
Edmonton: 39.1%
vs
Boston: 12.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.4% more
Edmonton: 16.2
vs
Boston: 14.8
Takeaways (L5)
+39.6% more
Boston: 6.6
vs
Edmonton: 4.0
Hits (L5)
+37.6% more
Boston: 24.5
vs
Edmonton: 15.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.7
2
EDM Score
4.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 14.8
10.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
53.6 / 57.5
46.4 / 53.6
Hits
15.3 / 24.5
25.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
3910.0 / 1283.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.9 / 31.2
26.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 6.6
8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
BOS
EDM
BOS
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
