PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
14-13-4 | Road
4
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
12-14-4 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
RED WINGS
100%
FLYERS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1 goal
19.4%
PHI By 2-3 goals
25.4%
DET By 1 goal
14.4%
DET By 2-3 goals
12.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3.31
PHILADELPHIA
Detroit
2.7
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
PHI @ DET
3 - 6
Apr 2, 2026
DET @ PHI
4 - 2
Mar 28, 2026
PHI @ DET
5 - 3
Jan 21, 2025
DET @ PHI
1 - 2
Dec 18, 2024
PHI @ DET
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+10.7% more
Philadelphia: 16.5
vs
Detroit: 14.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.4% more
Philadelphia: 15.3
vs
Detroit: 13.9
Power Play % (L5)
+5.2%
Philadelphia: 9.6%
vs
Detroit: 4.4%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.5%
Philadelphia: 54.1%
vs
Detroit: 49.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.3
4
DET Score
2.7
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.9 / 15.3
11.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
49.6 / 54.1
42.6 / 57.4
Hits
14.7 / 16.5
15.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
4.4 / 9.6
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 27.3
24.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 4.7
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
PHI
DET
PHI
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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