PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
14-12-0 | Road
1
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
19-6-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D@
GOALTENDER
Marc-Andre Fleury
#29 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Marc-Andre Fleury | None-None | 1.00 | 0.955 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.955
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
WILD
100%
FLYERS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1 goal
19.5%
PHI By 2-3 goals
26.1%
MIN By 1 goal
14.0%
MIN By 2-3 goals
12.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3.25
PHILADELPHIA
Minnesota
2.58
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
PHI @ MIN
3 - 2
Oct 18, 2025
MIN @ PHI
1 - 2
Dec 14, 2024
PHI @ MIN
1 - 4
Oct 26, 2024
MIN @ PHI
5 - 7
Jan 12, 2024
PHI @ MIN
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.2% more
Philadelphia: 17.4
vs
Minnesota: 15.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.6%
Philadelphia: 52.8%
vs
Minnesota: 47.2%
Hits (L5)
+35.9% more
Minnesota: 22.1
vs
Philadelphia: 16.2
Takeaways (L5)
+8.8% more
Minnesota: 4.4
vs
Philadelphia: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.3
1
MIN Score
2.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 17.4
16.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
47.2 / 52.8
43.3 / 56.7
Hits
22.1 / 16.2
18.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
1626.0 / 1438.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.9 / 30.0
22.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 4.1
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
PHI
MIN
PHI
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
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