DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
11-13-0 | Road
1
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
13-12-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Aleksei Kolosov
#35 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Aleksei Kolosov | None-None | 1.00 | 0.962 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.962
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
FLYERS
0%
RED WINGS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
DET By 1 goal
16.6%
DET By 2-3 goals
16.7%
PHI By 1 goal
18.2%
PHI By 2-3 goals
20.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.59
DETROIT
Philadelphia
2.78
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Red Wings (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
PHI @ DET
3 - 6
Apr 2, 2026
DET @ PHI
4 - 2
Mar 28, 2026
PHI @ DET
5 - 3
Jan 21, 2025
DET @ PHI
1 - 2
Dec 18, 2024
PHI @ DET
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+19.3% more
Philadelphia: 18.3
vs
Detroit: 15.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.5% more
Philadelphia: 16.7
vs
Detroit: 14.7
Power Play % (L5)
+11.7%
Philadelphia: 21.6%
vs
Detroit: 9.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+15.5% more
Detroit: 4.3
vs
Philadelphia: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.6
1
PHI Score
2.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.7 / 14.7
19.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
47.7 / 54.7
63.0 / 37.0
Hits
18.3 / 15.4
12.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
2157.0 / 987.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.0 / 27.8
36.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 4.3
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
DET
PHI
DET
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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