ORLANDO
MAGICORL
17-9 | Road
109
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
12-11 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
BUCKS
0%
MAGIC
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
ORL By 1-7 points
24.6%
ORL By 8-14 points
14.2%
MIL By 1-7 points
25.9%
MIL By 8-14 points
16.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
110.39
ORLANDO
Milwaukee
111.06
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Orlando
98
ORLANDO
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.7
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
ORL @ MIL
130 - 91
Feb 11, 2026
MIL @ ORL
116 - 108
Feb 9, 2026
MIL @ ORL
99 - 118
Mar 8, 2025
ORL @ MIL
111 - 109
Jan 15, 2025
ORL @ MIL
93 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+14.7% more
Milwaukee: 23.5
vs
Orlando: 20.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.4%
Milwaukee: 44.0%
vs
Orlando: 30.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Milwaukee: 50.2%
vs
Orlando: 46.3%
Steals (L5)
+41.8% more
Orlando: 10.4
vs
Milwaukee: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
110.4
109
MIL Score
111.1
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.0 / 30.5
36.7 / 22.2
Assists
23.5 / 20.5
27.0 / 19.0
Blocks
5.2 / 6.7
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 46.3
54.5 / 44.1
Free Throw %
76.5 / 75.9
76.0 / 77.8
Rebounding
39.5 / 41.8
37.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.1 / 10.4
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 16.0
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
ORL
MIL
ORL
ML
64%
61-35
61%
65-42
60%
49-32
56%
51-40
ATS
68%
65-31
64%
68-38-1
60%
49-32
56%
51-40
TTL
55%
53-43
57%
61-46
100%
81-0
100%
91-0
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