MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
11-11 | Road
118
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
10-13 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
NETS
100%
BUCKS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
26.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
16.6%
BKN By 1-7 points
24.5%
BKN By 8-14 points
14.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
109.42
MILWAUKEE
Brooklyn
108.63
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Brooklyn
106
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.8
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
BKN @ MIL
108 - 125
Apr 7, 2026
MIL @ BKN
90 - 96
Dec 14, 2025
MIL @ BKN
82 - 127
Nov 29, 2025
BKN @ MIL
99 - 116
Jan 2, 2025
BKN @ MIL
113 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+10.9% more
Milwaukee: 43.8
vs
Brooklyn: 39.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Milwaukee: 41.7%
vs
Brooklyn: 35.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Milwaukee: 46.7%
vs
Brooklyn: 43.5%
Steals (L5)
+51.5% more
Brooklyn: 9.2
vs
Milwaukee: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
109.4
118
BKN Score
108.6
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 41.7
45.7 / 48.4
Assists
23.8 / 22.3
24.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.7 / 4.3
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 46.7
50.6 / 57.4
Free Throw %
78.1 / 75.7
93.8 / 78.1
Rebounding
39.0 / 43.8
30.0 / 31.0
Steals
9.2 / 6.1
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 13.6
13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
MIL
BKN
MIL
ML
53%
50-45
64%
61-35
59%
48-34
60%
49-32
ATS
52%
48-44-3
68%
65-31
59%
48-34
60%
49-32
TTL
57%
54-41
55%
53-43
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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