FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
15-9-0 | Road
7
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
12-10-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Garnet Hathaway
#21 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Aleksei Kolosov
#35 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garnet Hathaway | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Aleksei Kolosov | None-None | 6.08 | 0.800 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
6.08
--
Save %
0.800
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
FLYERS
100%
PANTHERS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
19.7%
FLA By 2-3 goals
31.2%
PHI By 1 goal
11.2%
PHI By 2-3 goals
8.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
4.03
FLORIDA
Philadelphia
2.87
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
PHI @ FLA
4 - 2
Oct 13, 2025
FLA @ PHI
2 - 5
Oct 9, 2025
PHI @ FLA
1 - 2
Jan 13, 2025
FLA @ PHI
3 - 4
Dec 5, 2024
FLA @ PHI
7 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+50.0% more
Florida: 30.1
vs
Philadelphia: 15.1
Power Play % (L5)
+47.9%
Florida: 50.9%
vs
Philadelphia: 3.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+9.4% more
Florida: 6.7
vs
Philadelphia: 6.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.2% more
Florida: 33.6
vs
Philadelphia: 30.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
4.0
7
PHI Score
2.9
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
21.0 / 12.8
21.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
52.9 / 49.4
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
15.1 / 30.1
16.0 / 37.0
Power Play %
3.0 / 50.9
25.0 / 80.0
Shots on Goal
30.8 / 33.6
34.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
6.1 / 6.7
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
FLA
PHI
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
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