Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 2.88 | 0.923 | -- |
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.88
GAA
--
0.923
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
FLAMES
100%
BLUES
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
STL By 1 goal
19.0%
STL By 2-3 goals
23.7%
CGY By 1 goal
15.2%
CGY By 2-3 goals
14.0%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
2.96
ST. LOUIS
Calgary
2.5
CALGARY
Simulated Score
St. Louis
ST. LOUIS
Calgary
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blues
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blues (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
STL @ CGY
1 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
CGY @ STL
2 - 3
Oct 11, 2025
STL @ CGY
4 - 2
Jan 16, 2025
CGY @ STL
1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
CGY @ STL
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+17.3% more
St. Louis: 22.8
vs
Calgary: 18.9
Takeaways (L5)
+65.8% more
Calgary: 8.3
vs
St. Louis: 5.0
Power Play % (L5)
+21.0%
Calgary: 36.9%
vs
St. Louis: 15.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
3.0
4
CGY Score
2.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 14.4
10.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
49.9 / 51.1
46.3 / 53.8
Hits
18.9 / 22.8
20.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
36.9 / 15.9
25.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 29.3
39.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
8.3 / 5.0
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
STL
CGY
STL
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
1-1-1
0%
0-3
50%
1-1-1