ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

12-12-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Dec 5 • 9:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

13-9-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
@
Brayden Pachal
GOALTENDER

Brayden Pachal

#94 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jordan Binnington None-None 2.88 0.923 --
Brayden Pachal None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.88 GAA --
0.923 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
FLAMES
100%
BLUES --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (St. Louis)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

59.1%

Flames Cover

40.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1 goal

19.0%

STL By 2-3 goals

23.7%

CGY By 1 goal

15.2%

CGY By 2-3 goals

14.0%

AI Model Projected Score
2.96
ST. LOUIS
2.5
CALGARY
Simulated Score
ST. LOUIS
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim u0.0 Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 18, 2026 STL @ CGY 1 - 2
Nov 11, 2025 CGY @ STL 2 - 3
Oct 11, 2025 STL @ CGY 4 - 2
Jan 16, 2025 CGY @ STL 1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025 CGY @ STL 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +17.3% more
St. Louis: 22.8 vs Calgary: 18.9
Takeaways (L5) +65.8% more
Calgary: 8.3 vs St. Louis: 5.0
Power Play % (L5) +21.0%
Calgary: 36.9% vs St. Louis: 15.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 3.0 4
CGY Score 2.5 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.1 / 14.4 10.0 / 21.0
Faceoff % 49.9 / 51.1 46.3 / 53.8
Hits 18.9 / 22.8 20.0 / 16.0
Power Play % 36.9 / 15.9 25.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 27.6 / 29.3 39.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 8.3 / 5.0 7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
89%MONEY11%