MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
10-9 | Road
128
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
9-13 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
PISTONS
0%
BUCKS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.8
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.8 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -7.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
MIL By 1-7 points
14.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
5.0%
DET By 1-7 points
25.5%
DET By 8-14 points
26.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
105.97
MILWAUKEE
Detroit
113.76
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
95
MILWAUKEE
Detroit
113
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.8
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 219.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
MIL @ DET
111 - 137
Dec 6, 2025
MIL @ DET
112 - 124
Dec 3, 2025
DET @ MIL
109 - 113
Nov 22, 2025
DET @ MIL
129 - 116
Oct 9, 2025
DET @ MIL
111 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.1% more
Detroit: 17.0
vs
Milwaukee: 13.3
Steals (L5)
+15.1% more
Detroit: 6.7
vs
Milwaukee: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+19.4% more
Milwaukee: 6.4
vs
Detroit: 5.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.9%
Milwaukee: 45.2%
vs
Detroit: 35.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
106.0
128
DET Score
113.8
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 45.2
33.3 / 56.1
Assists
26.1 / 26.9
22.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.1 / 6.4
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 49.7
46.0 / 56.3
Free Throw %
78.2 / 77.8
72.7 / 71.4
Rebounding
42.8 / 42.3
41.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.7 / 5.8
11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
17.0 / 13.3
18.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIL
DET
MIL
ML
55%
64-53
64%
61-35
49%
47-49
60%
49-32
ATS
53%
60-54-3
68%
65-31
49%
47-49
60%
49-32
TTL
60%
70-46-1
55%
53-43
100%
96-0
100%
81-0
Contextual Game News
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Jalen Duren Returns to Pistons Camp, Impressing with Speed and E…