COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
13-12-0 | Road
5
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
11-11-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 5.11 | 0.878 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
5.11
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.878
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
SABRES
0%
AVALANCHE
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
COL By 1 goal
16.2%
COL By 2-3 goals
15.7%
BUF By 1 goal
18.5%
BUF By 2-3 goals
21.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.29
COLORADO
Buffalo
2.57
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
BUF @ COL
3 - 6
Oct 13, 2025
COL @ BUF
3 - 1
Jan 2, 2025
BUF @ COL
5 - 6
Dec 3, 2024
COL @ BUF
5 - 4
Dec 13, 2023
BUF @ COL
1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.9%
Buffalo: 50.6%
vs
Colorado: 38.8%
Hits (L5)
+9.1% more
Buffalo: 17.2
vs
Colorado: 15.8
Takeaways (L5)
+22.9% more
Colorado: 4.6
vs
Buffalo: 3.6
Power Play % (L5)
+9.7%
Colorado: 13.7%
vs
Buffalo: 4.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.3
5
BUF Score
2.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.9 / 13.4
11.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
50.6 / 38.8
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
17.2 / 15.8
19.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
404.0 / 1371.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.3 / 29.2
30.0 / 41.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 4.6
9.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
COL
BUF
COL
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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