CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
8-14-0 | Road
1
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
14-7-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 3.04 | 0.857 | -- |
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 1.00 | 0.964 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.04
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.964
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
BLACKHAWKS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CHI -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1 goal
19.3%
CHI By 2-3 goals
24.8%
TOR By 1 goal
14.7%
TOR By 2-3 goals
13.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.98
CHICAGO
Toronto
2.42
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Toronto
5
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
CHI @ TOR
2 - 3
Nov 15, 2025
TOR @ CHI
2 - 3
Feb 23, 2025
TOR @ CHI
5 - 2
Dec 2, 2024
CHI @ TOR
1 - 4
Nov 24, 2023
TOR @ CHI
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+25.1% more
Chicago: 6.2
vs
Toronto: 4.6
Power Play % (L5)
+18.8%
Chicago: 38.8%
vs
Toronto: 20.0%
Hits (L5)
+33.9% more
Toronto: 23.1
vs
Chicago: 17.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.4%
Toronto: 52.1%
vs
Chicago: 40.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
3.0
1
TOR Score
2.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 15.7
16.0 / 6.0
Faceoff %
52.1 / 40.8
64.3 / 35.7
Hits
23.1 / 17.3
39.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
1996.0 / 3879.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.1 / 25.8
22.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 6.2
8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CHI
TOR
CHI
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
4-0
33%
1-2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1-1
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