PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
11-10-0 | Road
3
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
11-12-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Aleksei Kolosov
#35 | G@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Kolosov | None-None | 1.98 | 0.926 | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 3.02 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.98 Ldr
GAA
3.02
0.926 Ldr
Save %
0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
BLUES
100%
FLYERS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1 goal
19.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
24.1%
STL By 1 goal
15.0%
STL By 2-3 goals
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.97
PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis
2.48
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis
5
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
STL @ PHI
2 - 3
Nov 14, 2025
PHI @ STL
6 - 5
Nov 30, 2024
PHI @ STL
3 - 2
Oct 31, 2024
STL @ PHI
1 - 2
Mar 4, 2024
STL @ PHI
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+33.8% more
Philadelphia: 6.1
vs
St. Louis: 4.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+20.7% more
Philadelphia: 22.5
vs
St. Louis: 17.8
Hits (L5)
+19.8% more
St. Louis: 19.9
vs
Philadelphia: 16.6
Power Play % (L5)
+14.6%
St. Louis: 19.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 4.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.0
3
STL Score
2.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.8 / 22.5
8.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 49.5
40.4 / 59.6
Hits
19.9 / 16.6
27.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
19.0 / 4.5
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 30.8
27.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 6.1
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
PHI
STL
PHI
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
1-1-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
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