EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
12-9-0 | Road
4
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
13-11-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Alexandar Georgiev
#40 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Alexandar Georgiev | None-None | 3.08 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.08
--
Save %
0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
OILERS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
EDM By 1 goal
16.0%
EDM By 2-3 goals
15.4%
COL By 1 goal
18.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
22.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.97
EDMONTON
Colorado
3.28
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
COL @ EDM
2 - 1
Mar 10, 2026
EDM @ COL
4 - 3
Nov 8, 2025
COL @ EDM
9 - 1
Feb 7, 2025
COL @ EDM
5 - 4
Jan 16, 2025
EDM @ COL
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+29.6% more
Colorado: 15.6
vs
Edmonton: 12.0
Hits (L5)
+26.7% more
Colorado: 15.7
vs
Edmonton: 12.4
Takeaways (L5)
+61.3% more
Edmonton: 6.3
vs
Colorado: 2.4
Power Play % (L5)
+18.8%
Edmonton: 29.3%
vs
Colorado: 10.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
4
COL Score
3.3
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.6 / 12.0
9.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
43.0 / 51.9
30.2 / 69.8
Hits
15.7 / 12.4
16.0 / 9.0
Power Play %
10.6 / 29.3
20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.7 / 33.5
28.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
2.4 / 6.3
9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
EDM
COL
EDM
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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