SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
8-10 | Road
115
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
8-9 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
KINGS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
SAC By 1-7 points
25.1%
SAC By 8-14 points
15.0%
MIN By 1-7 points
25.5%
MIN By 8-14 points
15.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
111.88
SACRAMENTO
Minnesota
112.09
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Sacramento
113
SACRAMENTO
Minnesota
116
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.2
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
103 - 117
Nov 24, 2025
MIN @ SAC
112 - 117
Nov 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
110 - 124
Nov 9, 2025
MIN @ SAC
144 - 117
Feb 3, 2025
SAC @ MIN
116 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+13.2% more
Minnesota: 45.4
vs
Sacramento: 40.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.4%
Minnesota: 82.9%
vs
Sacramento: 72.5%
Blocks (L5)
+28.6% more
Sacramento: 5.2
vs
Minnesota: 3.7
Assists (L5)
+8.1% more
Sacramento: 22.7
vs
Minnesota: 20.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
111.9
115
MIN Score
112.1
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 31.2
35.9 / 32.4
Assists
20.9 / 22.7
25.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.2
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 46.9
44.6 / 48.9
Free Throw %
82.9 / 72.5
88.9 / 73.3
Rebounding
45.4 / 40.1
33.0 / 47.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.7
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 14.2
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SAC
MIN
SAC
ML
54%
63-53
55%
55-45
54%
50-43
61%
50-32
ATS
58%
67-49
54%
52-45-3
54%
50-43
61%
50-32
TTL
63%
72-43-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
93-0
100%
82-0
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