TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
13-6-0 | Road
1
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
12-9-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sergei Bobrovsky
#72 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00
GAA
--
0.958
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
TOR By 1 goal
15.0%
TOR By 2-3 goals
13.7%
FLA By 1 goal
19.1%
FLA By 2-3 goals
24.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
2.55
TORONTO
Florida
3.04
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
FLA @ TOR
6 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
TOR @ FLA
1 - 5
Jan 6, 2026
FLA @ TOR
1 - 4
Dec 2, 2025
TOR @ FLA
4 - 1
May 18, 2025
FLA @ TOR
6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+38.6% more
Florida: 5.4
vs
Toronto: 3.9
Hits (L5)
+11.7% more
Florida: 29.1
vs
Toronto: 26.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.1% more
Toronto: 17.4
vs
Florida: 13.6
Power Play % (L5)
+15.5%
Toronto: 28.3%
vs
Florida: 12.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
2.6
1
FLA Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.6 / 17.4
11.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
50.5 / 50.9
40.0 / 60.0
Hits
29.1 / 26.1
28.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
12.8 / 28.3
40.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.1 / 29.4
24.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 3.9
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
TOR
FLA
TOR
ML
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
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