MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
8-7 | Road
105
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
13-3 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
CELTICS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
MIN By 1-7 points
22.9%
MIN By 8-14 points
12.0%
BOS By 1-7 points
26.9%
BOS By 8-14 points
18.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
114.33
MINNESOTA
Boston
116.43
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Minnesota
112
MINNESOTA
Boston
119
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.1
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 230.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
MIN @ BOS
102 - 92
Nov 29, 2025
BOS @ MIN
115 - 119
Jan 2, 2025
BOS @ MIN
118 - 115
Nov 24, 2024
MIN @ BOS
105 - 107
Jan 10, 2024
MIN @ BOS
120 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.5% more
Boston: 27.4
vs
Minnesota: 21.7
Blocks (L5)
+16.0% more
Boston: 5.7
vs
Minnesota: 4.9
Rebounding (L5)
+9.7% more
Boston: 42.3
vs
Minnesota: 38.5
Steals (L5)
+33.4% more
Minnesota: 10.4
vs
Boston: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
114.3
105
BOS Score
116.4
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 36.4
37.5 / 36.6
Assists
27.4 / 21.7
25.0 / 19.0
Blocks
5.7 / 4.9
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 45.8
42.5 / 42.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 80.9
80.0 / 76.2
Rebounding
42.3 / 38.5
40.0 / 49.0
Steals
6.9 / 10.4
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 15.6
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
MIN
BOS
MIN
ML
57%
61-46
54%
63-53
53%
47-41
54%
50-43
ATS
59%
61-43-3
58%
67-49
53%
47-41
54%
50-43
TTL
56%
60-47
63%
72-43-1
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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