CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
13-4-0 | Road
4
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
8-9-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ivan Fedotov
#82 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 1.00 | 0.947 | -- |
| Ivan Fedotov | None-None | 4.00 | 0.892 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
4.00
0.947 Ldr
Save %
0.892
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
FLYERS
100%
HURRICANES
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
27.6%
PHI By 1 goal
13.2%
PHI By 2-3 goals
10.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
4.14
CAROLINA
Philadelphia
3.33
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Hurricanes (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 9, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 7, 2026
CAR @ PHI
4 - 1
May 4, 2026
PHI @ CAR
2 - 3
May 2, 2026
PHI @ CAR
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+16.3%
Carolina: 25.4%
vs
Philadelphia: 9.1%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.9% more
Carolina: 31.1
vs
Philadelphia: 28.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.4%
Carolina: 56.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 51.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+141.7% more
Philadelphia: 23.2
vs
Carolina: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
4.1
4
PHI Score
3.3
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
23.2 / 9.6
20.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
51.3 / 56.8
44.2 / 55.8
Hits
19.8 / 15.4
20.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
908.0 / 2540.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 31.1
19.0 / 37.0
Takeaways
6.4 / 6.4
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CAR
PHI
CAR
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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