COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
9-9-0 | Road
3
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
8-8-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Devon Toews
#7 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Aleksei Kolosov
#35 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Toews | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Aleksei Kolosov | None-None | 3.11 | 0.897 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.11
--
Save %
0.897
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
FLYERS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
19.0%
COL By 2-3 goals
23.6%
PHI By 1 goal
15.3%
PHI By 2-3 goals
14.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.29
COLORADO
Philadelphia
2.84
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 23, 2026
PHI @ COL
7 - 3
Dec 7, 2025
COL @ PHI
3 - 2
Feb 2, 2025
PHI @ COL
0 - 2
Nov 18, 2024
COL @ PHI
3 - 2
Jan 20, 2024
COL @ PHI
7 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+49.3% more
Philadelphia: 6.6
vs
Colorado: 4.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+42.6% more
Philadelphia: 21.8
vs
Colorado: 15.3
Hits (L5)
+13.7% more
Philadelphia: 19.2
vs
Colorado: 16.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.1% more
Philadelphia: 29.6
vs
Colorado: 26.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.3
3
PHI Score
2.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
21.8 / 15.3
26.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
47.8 / 43.2
58.3 / 41.7
Hits
19.2 / 16.9
21.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
13.6 / 6.9
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
29.6 / 26.1
26.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 4.4
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
COL
PHI
COL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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