PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
6-8-0 | Road
5
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
8-7-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ivan Fedotov
#82 | G@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Fedotov | None-None | 3.75 | 0.892 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 4.71 | 0.737 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.75 Ldr
GAA
4.71
0.892 Ldr
Save %
0.737
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
SENATORS
0%
FLYERS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
PHI By 1 goal
14.5%
PHI By 2-3 goals
12.8%
OTT By 1 goal
19.3%
OTT By 2-3 goals
25.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.4
PHILADELPHIA
Ottawa
2.99
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 8, 2026
PHI @ OTT
1 - 2
Feb 5, 2026
OTT @ PHI
2 - 1
Nov 8, 2025
OTT @ PHI
3 - 2
Oct 23, 2025
PHI @ OTT
1 - 2
Apr 13, 2025
PHI @ OTT
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+29.8% more
Ottawa: 29.6
vs
Philadelphia: 22.8
Takeaways (L5)
+40.8% more
Philadelphia: 9.3
vs
Ottawa: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.4
5
OTT Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.5 / 15.3
14.0 / 30.0
Faceoff %
50.3 / 50.4
61.4 / 38.6
Hits
29.6 / 22.8
23.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
16.4 / 15.6
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
35.6 / 33.0
37.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 9.3
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
PHI
OTT
PHI
ML
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
TTL
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
Contextual Game News
Daniel Walcott Retires from Pro Hockey, Joins Syracuse Crunch as…
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …