ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
7-9-0 | Road
3
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
7-8-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Owen Power
#25 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 3.90 | 0.879 | -- |
| Owen Power | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.90
GAA
--
0.879
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
SABRES
100%
BLUES
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
STL By 1 goal
19.4%
STL By 2-3 goals
25.5%
BUF By 1 goal
14.3%
BUF By 2-3 goals
12.5%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
3.37
ST. LOUIS
Buffalo
2.75
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blues
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blues (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Blues (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
BUF @ STL
4 - 2
Nov 6, 2025
STL @ BUF
3 - 0
Dec 29, 2024
BUF @ STL
4 - 2
Nov 14, 2024
STL @ BUF
3 - 4
Feb 10, 2024
STL @ BUF
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.0% more
Buffalo: 15.7
vs
St. Louis: 12.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.2%
Buffalo: 54.4%
vs
St. Louis: 46.2%
Power Play % (L5)
+6.9%
Buffalo: 30.7%
vs
St. Louis: 23.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
3.4
3
BUF Score
2.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 12.5
10.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
54.4 / 46.2
36.1 / 63.9
Hits
21.5 / 22.4
26.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
30.7 / 23.8
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.1 / 22.3
33.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 4.6
10.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
STL
BUF
STL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points