TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
2-9 | Road
85
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
2-8 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
BUCKS
0%
RAPTORS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
TOR By 1-7 points
20.7%
TOR By 8-14 points
9.8%
MIL By 1-7 points
27.3%
MIL By 8-14 points
21.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
108.77
TORONTO
Milwaukee
112.41
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Toronto
107
TORONTO
Milwaukee
113
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.6
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
TOR @ MIL
122 - 94
Dec 18, 2025
TOR @ MIL
111 - 105
Nov 4, 2025
MIL @ TOR
100 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
MIL @ TOR
122 - 116
Jan 17, 2025
TOR @ MIL
112 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+75.4% more
Milwaukee: 5.6
vs
Toronto: 3.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Milwaukee: 36.6%
vs
Toronto: 32.8%
Assists (L5)
+26.2% more
Toronto: 28.2
vs
Milwaukee: 20.9
Turnovers (L5)
+12.2% more
Toronto: 14.6
vs
Milwaukee: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
108.8
85
MIL Score
112.4
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 32.8
28.6 / 36.0
Assists
20.9 / 28.2
25.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.6 / 3.2
9.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 45.8
40.4 / 34.9
Free Throw %
71.9 / 73.8
58.3 / 80.0
Rebounding
42.2 / 41.3
47.0 / 54.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.5
16.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 14.6
17.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
TOR
MIL
TOR
ML
64%
61-35
55%
57-47
60%
49-32
55%
48-39
ATS
68%
65-31
61%
62-40-2
60%
49-32
55%
48-39
TTL
55%
53-43
60%
62-42
100%
81-0
100%
87-0
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